What will be Rivian's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?
Closed Nov 10, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Electric vehicle maker Rivian is reportedly aiming to go public in late October or November of 2021 (CNBC, Muscle Cars and Trucks). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg. Whether Rivian goes public via an IPO, direct listing, or a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) would be immaterial (Investopedia (IPO v. Direct Listing), Investopedia (SPACs)).
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The question closed "More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion" with a closing date of 10 November 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $50 billion | 1% | |
| Between $50 billion and $70 billion, inclusive | 37% | |
| More than $70 billion but less than $90 billion | 60% | |
| Between $90 billion and $110 billion, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than $110 billion | 0% | |
| Rivian will not trade publicly before 1 January 2022 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 30 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 114 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
