What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?
Started
Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
On 30 September 2021, sports broadcaster Al Michaels asked members of the Halftime Show panel on CNBC for the over/under on the Dow Jones Industrial Average for 34,000 as of 31 December 2021 (CNBC). Traders Josh Brown and Pete Najarian provided responses. The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC).
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The question closed "Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 33,000.00 | 0% | |
| Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00 | 0% | |
| Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive | 10% | |
| Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00 | 87% | |
| 37,000.00 or more | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 80 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 492 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
