Tim Harford asks:
What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?
Started
Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 24, 2021 08:01AM UTC
As economies emerge from the worst of the pandemic, costs of global shipping have skyrocketed in 2021 (NASDAQ, Hellenic Shipping News, Investopedia, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using Baltic Exchange Dry Index data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).
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The question closed "Lower than 2,500.00" with a closing date of 24 December 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 2,500.00 | 100% | |
| Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00 | 0% | |
| Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00 | 0% | |
| Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 10,000.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 66 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 434 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
