Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:
Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC
All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election in 2022, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022 (Ballotpedia). If control is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If control is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 8 November 2022 when the outcome is known.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Republican Party" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 18% | |
| Republican Party | 82% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 696 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1887 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
