Will Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff resign or be impeached before 1 April 2016?
Started
Sep 8, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Mar 31, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Mar 31, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
According to the constitution of Brazil, President Rousseff would be impeached if the Chamber of Deputies authorizes, by a two-thirds vote, legal proceedings to be initiated against her (Brazilian Constitution).
President Rousseff faces a continuing economic slump, a bribery scandal affecting members of her party, and new legal claims that she broke the nation's fiscal responsibility law (NY Times, Reuters, Financial Times, The World in 2016).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.00% | |
| No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 934 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2942 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 8, 2015 1:00PM PDT (205 days before close, question was 0% complete)