Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty?

Started Jun 14, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

For more information on the New START Treaty see: US Department of State. Escalating tensions between Russia and the US have generated concerns over the future of the New Start treaty (TIME). In March 2015, Russia announced that it was withdrawing from the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (Financial Times). Recommended Questions: When will the government of Colombia and the FARC sign a final peace agreement? What will happen to the European Union's sectoral sanctions against Russia, currently set to expire in July 2016? Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?
Russia did not officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 281
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1903
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.004981
3.
-0.00491
4.
-0.004901
5.
-0.004884

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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