The Economist asks:
Before 1 September 2022, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology?
Started
Dec 30, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 17, 2022 04:30AM UTC
Closed Jun 17, 2022 04:30AM UTC
Efforts within the WTO to agree on patent waivers for COVID-19 vaccines stalled in 2021 (Economist, US News & World Report, CNN). While consensus among all 164 member states is sought for WTO decisions, an agreement to grant waivers could be made by a vote of three-fourths of member states (WTO, SDG Knowledge Hub).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 16 June 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.00% | |
| No | 94.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 220 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 446 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
