The Economist asks:
Who will win the next Kenyan presidential election?
Closed Aug 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Kenyans are preparing for what is expected to be a competitive presidential race in 2022 (Economist, Council on Foreign Relations). The next presidential election is scheduled for 9 August 2022 (Economist). The question would close upon officially announced results of the general election, irrespective of judicial intervention ordering a revote as took place in 2019 (BBC).
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NOTE 25 July 2022: If the election is postponed to a date before 1 January 2023, the suspend date will be reset to accommodate the new date. If the election is postponed beyond 2022 or canceled, the question would be voided.
The question closed "William Ruto" with a closing date of 9 August 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Raila Odinga | 65% | |
William Ruto | 35% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 88 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 276 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |