Raqqa still appears firmly in the Islamic State's grasp despite increased air strikes by France, Russia, and the US-led coalition (Reuters, NY Times, The Guardian, The Economist). Recommended Questions: Will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul before 1 January 2017? Before 1 August 2016, will any NATO members invoke Article 4 or Article 5 in response to actions taken by ISIS? Will more than 1 million refugees and migrants arrive in Europe by sea in 2016?

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This question was closed as "Not before 1 June 2017" with an end date of 31 May 2017. _{See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.}