Will the government of Afghanistan and the Afghan Taliban participate in official talks before 1 March 2017?
Started
Jun 21, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
The Taliban's refusal to join talks hosted by the Quadrilateral Coordination Group in May 2016 (Al Jazeera, Reuters) and the appointment of the hard-line Mawlawi Haibatullah Akhundzada to replace Mullah Akhtar Mohammed Mansour have raised doubts about the future of the Afghan peace process (CNN, Newsweek).
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 28 February 2017.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 280 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1130 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |