Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999 (Britannica). Putin's decision to invade Ukraine has received broad international condemnation (Guardian).
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NOTE 3 May 2022: The temporary transfer of power to an acting president alone would not be considered Putin ceasing to be president (e.g., Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty).
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.52% | |
| No | 99.48% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 736 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 3281 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
