Kinnaj asks:
Between 27 February 2022 and 27 August 2022, will Russia be restricted or banned from access to the SWIFT banking system?
Closed Mar 14, 2022 02:43PM UTC
Amid various sanctions being imposed against Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine, countries are considering whether to block Russian access to SWIFT (BBC, CBS News, Financial Times). A SWIFT ban on one or more Russian institutions would count. For more information on the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication see https://www.swift.com/about_swift/index, https://www.swift.com/about-us/legal/compliance-0/swift-and-sanctions.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 11 March 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100.00% | |
| No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 179 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 224 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
