Between 8 March 2022 and 7 June 2022, will President Biden's approval rating fall below 38.5%?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 08, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 08, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How [un]popular is Joe Biden?" page (FiveThirtyEight). The question would close as of the day for which a daily estimate figure is below 38.5%, but only after confirming the daily estimate figure at least three days later.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 8 June 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 154 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 558 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
