How many seats in Poland's Sejm will PiS (Law and Justice) win in the upcoming parliamentary elections?
Started
Sep 08, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2015 09:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2015 09:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
A PiS victory in Poland's parliamentary elections has significant implications for Poland's relationship with the EU and Russia (http://time.com/3995688/poland-election-foreign-policy/ ; www.politico.eu/article/duda-tusk-poland-foreign-policy-germany-nato/ ). The election is scheduled for 25 October 2015.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Majority | 22% | |
| Plurality | 78% | |
| Not a Plurality | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 125 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 374 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
