Will Tesla produce at least 330,000 vehicles in the second quarter of 2022?

Started Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Tesla in its Production and Delivery press release for the second quarter of 2022, expected in early July 2022 (Tesla).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 149
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 630
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.35684
2.
-0.338866
3.
-0.250116
4.
-0.230642
5.
-0.222751

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username