Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 15 May 2022?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed May 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 May 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 135 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 386 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |