Between 8 March 2022 and 25 May 2022, will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen 2.4 million or more travelers in a single day?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM
Closed May 26, 2022 07:01AM (3 years ago)
Closed May 26, 2022 07:01AM (3 years ago)
Challenges
Tags
The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 May 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 140 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 833 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 525 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - May 23, 2022 7:51AM PDT (3 days before close, question was 96% complete)