Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed by the Senate before 1 May 2022?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 07, 2022 06:26PM UTC
Closed Apr 07, 2022 06:26PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
On 25 February 2022, President Joe Biden announced Ketanji Brown Jackson as his choice to replace the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer (The Hill).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 April 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 147 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 366 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
