Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed by the Senate before 1 May 2022?
Started
Mar 15, 2022 05:00PM
Closed Apr 7, 2022 06:26PM (3 years ago)
Closed Apr 7, 2022 06:26PM (3 years ago)
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On 25 February 2022, President Joe Biden announced Ketanji Brown Jackson as his choice to replace the retiring Justice Stephen Breyer (The Hill).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 April 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 147 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 180 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 366 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 525 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 15, 2022 3:30PM PDT (23 days before close, question was 0% complete)