Will either Mir Hossein Mousavi or Mehdi Karroubi stand trial or be released from house arrest before 1 June 2017?
Started
Jul 05, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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Mousavi and Karroubi ran as opposition candidates in Iran's 2009 presidential election. Both contested the official results, and the two have been under house arrest since 2011, when they called for a demonstration in support of the uprisings that were occurring at the time in Egypt and Tunisia (Al-Monitor 1, Al-Monitor 2). Karroubi recently released an open letter requesting authorities allow him to stand trial (Middle East Monitor, Payvand).
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This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 May 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 May 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 150 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 822 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |