  The Monkey Cage asks
Which presidential candidate will win Florida?
Started
Jul 08, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed with the correct answer 'Donald Trump' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump won the state of Florida on November 8. (NY Times)
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The presidential race in Florida is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Will the winner of the popular vote in the US presidential election also win the electoral college? Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?
The presidential race in Florida is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Will the winner of the popular vote in the US presidential election also win the electoral college? Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Someone else | 0% | |
| Donald Trump | 45% | |
| Hillary Clinton | 55% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 574 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1894 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
