Before 1 July 2017, will any other European Union (EU) member state set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU?

Started Jul 12, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

The victory of the "leave" campaign in the United Kingdom's June referendum has spurred calls for similar votes in other EU member states (BBC, Express). "Any other member state" refers to EU member states other than the United Kingdom. Recommended Questions Before 1 July 2017, will Scotland set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom? When will the United Kingdom invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty? What will the end-of-day closing value for the British pound against the US dollar be on 30 December 2016? To date no EU member state has officially set a date for an EU exit referendum. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 632
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1913
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.016679
2.
-0.016679
3.
-0.016679
4.
-0.016679
5.
-0.016679

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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