Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Top Gun: Maverick reach or exceed $45 million, according to Box Office Mojo?
Started
Apr 29, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closed May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed May 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tags
Top Gun: Maverick is the first sequel to the 1986 blockbuster Top Gun (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 27 May 2022 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the Memorial Day weekend of 27-30 May 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 27 May 2022.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 31 May 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91.50% | |
| No | 8.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 63 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 110 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
