David Epstein asks:
Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 January 2023?
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
On 18 May 2022, the countries of Finland and Sweden both submitted applications to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), though Turkey has raised some objections (NATO, CNBC, Al Jazeera). The latest country to join NATO was North Macedonia on 27 March 2020 (NATO).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, Finland only | 1% | |
| Yes, Sweden only | 1% | |
| Yes, both Finland and Sweden | 4% | |
| No | 94% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 345 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1306 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 540 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
