David Epstein and Foxes ask:
Will Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter close before 1 January 2023?
Closed Oct 28, 2022 08:03PM UTC
After Elon Musk announced his bid to buy Twitter in April 2022, various developments have put the deal into question (Twitter, CNN, The Hill). When Twitter announced that it accepted Musk's offer, it stated that the transaction "is expected to close in 2022" (SEC - EDGAR). The question would close early upon the official termination of the deal per filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 27 October 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79.44% | |
| No | 20.56% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 215 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 756 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 540 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
