Foxes Ask:
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Drought, conflict, and other factors have left millions in the Horn of Africa facing potential famine (ABC News, Reliefweb, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification - Mapping Tool). For the purposes of this question, the countries in the Horn of Africa are Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, and Uganda (Britannica). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19.96% | |
| No | 80.04% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 264 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 753 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 546 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
