  The Monkey Cage asks
Which presidential candidate will win North Carolina?
Started
Jul 29, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed with the correct answer 'Donald Trump' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump won the state of North Carolina on November 8. (NY Times)
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The presidential race in North Carolina is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Georgia? Which presidential candidate will win Virginia?
The presidential race in North Carolina is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Georgia? Which presidential candidate will win Virginia?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 45% | |
| Hillary Clinton | 55% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 436 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1320 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
