MrLittleTexas asks:
What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC
Challenges
The incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is set to face Democratic former US Representative Beto O'Rourke in the 2022 gubernatorial election (The Hill, Texas Tribune, FiveThirtyEight).
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The question closed "More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% or less and will not win the election | 4% | |
| 50.0% or less but will win the election | 9% | |
| More than 50.0% but less than 55.0% | 57% | |
| 55.0% or more | 30% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 52 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 177 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
