Which main character will be the first to die in Season 6 of the Walking Dead?

Started Sep 8, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Oct 23, 2016 05:00PM (8 years ago)

This question was closed on option "All of the above will survive season 6" with an end date of 23 October 2016. The season 7 premier revealed that all of the characters listed in this question survived season 6. “[The midseason premiere] is a huge turning point for Rick and the group, because there’s a lot of chaos and it’s very brutal,” says executive producer and creator Robert Kirkman. 4/15/16: The finale of the Walking Dead's Season 6 left us with a cliffhanger and an unresolved question: Did someone die at the end of the episode and, if so, who? We've decided to keep the question open until the answer to that question is revealed. We'll close the question once we know the identity of anyone who died at the end of Season 6 and all forecasts made until closing will count. If it becomes clear that none of the characters listed in the question died in Season 6, then we'll resolve on option F. Recommended Questions Will Winds of Winter be released before Season 6 of Game of Thrones airs? Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
All of the above will survive season 6 59%
Glenn 31%
Rick 0%
Carl 0%
Daryl 5%
Carol 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 482
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181
Number of Forecasts 1527
Average for questions older than 6 months: 529
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.739912
2.
-0.737909
3.
-0.736256
4.
-0.729393
5.
-0.723178

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Dec 26, 2015 10:12PM PST (302 days before close, question was 27% complete)
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