In the wake of a failed coup attempt in July 2016, Erdogan has aimed to consolidate his power (BBC, NY Times, Bloomberg). In the event that Erdogan reportedly disappears or flees the capital, Good Judgment will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Erdogan returns in the interim, the question will remain open. Recommended Questions Will the EU lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens before the end of 2016? Will Nawaz Sharif, whose family was recently implicated in the Panama Papers, cease to be Prime Minister of Pakistan in 2016? Will Dilma Rousseff cease to be President of Brazil before 1 January 2017? Will either Turkey or Russia officially suspend or cancel the Akkuyu nuclear power plant project before the end of 2016? Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Turkey before 1 January 2017?

---

As of 1 August, Recep Tayyip Erdogan remained President of Turkey. This question closed as "b) no" with an end date of 1 August. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

---