DippySkippy asks:

Before 8 November 2022, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia?

Started Aug 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, the US is reportedly negotiating for the release of Brittney Griner and other Americans imprisoned in Russia (CNN, ABC News).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.78%
No 99.22%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 123
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 451
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.038135
2.
-0.038135
3.
-0.037335
4.
-0.037328
5.
-0.037081

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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