tabhuth asks:
Between 12 August 2022 and 18 February 2023, will former President Donald Trump be criminally charged with or indicted for a federal and/or state crime in the US?
Closed Feb 18, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Former President Trump is currently under investigation by various US jurisdictions (BBC, Bloomberg, Politico). Any criminal charge or indictment under seal would only count upon the unsealing of the charge or indictment during the question's open period (Cornell, see Definition (1), Legal Beagle). Contempt charges or citations imposed by a judge or judicial officer alone would not count (Cornell).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 19 February 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, a federal crime only | 1% | |
| Yes, a state crime only | 3% | |
| Yes, both a federal crime and a state crime | 1% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 191 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 980 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 550 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
