&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) win her 30 August primary race?

Started Aug 12, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC

This question was closed as a "yes'. Debbie Wasserman Schultz won her primary (NY Times). Incumbent Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who recently resigned as chair of the Democratic National Committee after an email leak showed her having favored Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders throughout the presidential primary, faces Sanders-backed challenger Tim Canova in Florida's 23rd Congressional district (Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, Miami Herald, NY Times). Recommended Questions Will North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory (R) be re-elected this November? Which presidential candidate will win Florida? Will Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) be re-elected this November?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 95.00%
No 5.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 129
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 206
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.010244
2.
-0.009967
3.
-0.009778
4.
-0.009778
5.
-0.009689

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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