Between 16 September 2022 and 31 December 2022, will anti-government protests in Iran result in 1,000 or more protester fatalities, according to Iran Human Rights?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Widespread protests have broken out in Iran after a woman who was arrested for breaking hijab rules died in police custody (NPR, Al-Monitor, CBS News). Fatalities must occur during the question's duration to qualify, though not necessarily at the same time. As of 12 October 2022, Iran Human Rights reported that 201 protesters had been killed (Iran Human Rights). The outcome will be determined using available information no later than 4 January 2023.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.47% | |
| No | 97.53% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 75 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 373 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
