Started
Aug 12, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Pat Toomey (R - PA) won his bid for reelection on November 8. (NY Times)
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Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey is facing Democratic challenger Katie McGinty in a race that, as of 7 August, shows McGinty leading by 2-3 points in the polls. Donald Trump lags behind Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania by several percentage points, leading to worries that Trump may hurt Toomey's chances down-ballot despite Toomey's efforts to distance himself from the presidential candidate (The Inquirer Daily News, Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, NBC News). Recommended Questions Will Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) be re-elected this November? Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania? Will Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) win her 30 August primary race?
Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey is facing Democratic challenger Katie McGinty in a race that, as of 7 August, shows McGinty leading by 2-3 points in the polls. Donald Trump lags behind Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania by several percentage points, leading to worries that Trump may hurt Toomey's chances down-ballot despite Toomey's efforts to distance himself from the presidential candidate (The Inquirer Daily News, Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, NBC News). Recommended Questions Will Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) be re-elected this November? Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania? Will Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) win her 30 August primary race?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 30.00% | |
No | 70.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 245 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 731 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |