Will Lebanon's parliament, the Chamber of Deputies, elect a new President of the Republic before 1 January 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The Chamber of Deputies has yet to form a new government or elect a new President of the Republic since delayed elections were held in May 2022, and President Michel Aoun left office at the expiration of his term in October 2022 (AP, France24, Arab News). The question would close "No" upon the calling of new parliamentary elections in the country without a new president having been elected. Replacement of the president by means other than election by the Chamber of Deputies would not count (Constitution of Lebanon).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0.40% | |
No | 99.60% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 37 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |