The Economist asks:
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 October 2023?
Started
Nov 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999 (Britannica). The temporary transfer of power to an acting president alone would not be considered Putin ceasing to be president (e.g., Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.95% | |
| No | 97.05% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 671 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2425 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
