Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:
Will there be a new tweet on former President Donald Trump's Twitter account, @realdonaldtrump, before 26 February 2023?
Closed Feb 26, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Elon Musk announced that Trump's Twitter account was reactivated after a poll held on the site, but Trump has thus far said that he has no interest in returning to Twitter (CNBC, Twitter). Retweets would not count, and a tweet that is immediately deleted or removed would count so long as there is credible reporting that the tweet occurred. Claims that a tweet was the result of a hack would be immaterial.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 February 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.24% | |
| No | 96.76% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 154 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 555 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
