Will local elections be held in the city of Donetsk before 1 January 2017?
Started
Aug 23, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
This question was closed on "No" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The Minsk II agreement required the government of Ukraine and separatist forces to reach an agreement on local elections in separatist controlled areas of Donetsk and Luhansk (The Telegraph). So far, however, no agreement has been reached, and elections have not yet been held in Donetsk (Radio Free Europe, Sputnik News, VOA News, Atlantic Council, TASS Russian News Agency). Recommended Questions Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ukraine before 1 January 2017? Will Afghanistan's parliamentary elections be held as scheduled on 15 October 2016? Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017?
The Minsk II agreement required the government of Ukraine and separatist forces to reach an agreement on local elections in separatist controlled areas of Donetsk and Luhansk (The Telegraph). So far, however, no agreement has been reached, and elections have not yet been held in Donetsk (Radio Free Europe, Sputnik News, VOA News, Atlantic Council, TASS Russian News Agency). Recommended Questions Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ukraine before 1 January 2017? Will Afghanistan's parliamentary elections be held as scheduled on 15 October 2016? Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and the elections will be recognized by the government of Ukraine | 0% | |
| Yes, but the elections will not be recognized by the government of Ukraine | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 156 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 582 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
