Will the Iranian Parliament approve the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action before 1 November 2015?
Started
Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Oct 13, 2015 04:22PM (9 years ago)
Closed Oct 13, 2015 04:22PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the Iranian Parliament -- the Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majles -- to vote on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/04/world/middleeast/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-iran-supreme-leader-nuclear-deal-vote.html ).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96.00% | |
| No | 4.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 145 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 322 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 529 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 14, 2015 1:00PM PDT (29 days before close, question was 0% complete)