Will the Iranian Parliament approve the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action before 1 November 2015?

Started Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 13, 2015 04:22PM UTC

Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the Iranian Parliament -- the Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majles -- to vote on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/04/world/middleeast/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-iran-supreme-leader-nuclear-deal-vote.html ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 96.00%
No 4.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 145
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 322
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.010666
3.
-0.010583
4.
-0.0094
5.
-0.0094

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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