Fujitsu asks:

On 1 March 2023, will the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) 1-week repo interest rate be below 10.5%?

Started Jan 16, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the CBRT (CBRT).

NOTE: Questions in the Fujitsu Hivemind Challenge have been partly crowdsourced through a research project and consequently may have experimental framings.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 93.88%
No 6.12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 84
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.019873
2.
-0.019873
3.
-0.019618
4.
-0.019418
5.
-0.018807

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username