Fujitsu asks:
On 27 February 2023, will the most recent blog post published by the Dupuy Institute covering the 'Russo-Ukrainian War' include an estimate of the strength of Russian ground forces in and around Ukraine plus those of the Donetsk PR and the Lugansk PR to be greater than 200,000?
Started
Jan 18, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As of 18 January 2023, the latest blog post published by the Dupuy Institute covering the 'Russo-Ukrainian War' included an estimate of strength of Russian ground forces, plus those of the Donetsk PR and the Lugansk PR, of 184,000 (see http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/2023/01/16/the-russo-ukrainian-war-day-327/). "The Russian army (ground forces) in and around Ukraine is probably around 150,000 (up to 190,000). Donetsk PR is estimated at 20,000 and Lugansk at 14,000." The blog will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 February 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 17.60% | |
No | 82.40% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 50 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 160 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |