Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for the Emirate of Dubai in November 2023?

Started Feb 02, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 30 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by the Dubai Statistics Center (Dubai Statistics Center - Prices, see "Annual Percentage Change" reports). The figure in the PDF file will be used for resolution. In November 2022, annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index was 4.68% (Annual Percentage Change in Consumer Price Index 2022, see "General Index" row).

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The question closed "Higher by more than 2.00% but less than 4.00%" with a closing date of 1 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower by more than 0.00% 1%
Higher by between 0.00% and 2.00%, inclusive 23%
Higher by more than 2.00% but less than 4.00% 61%
Higher by between 4.00% and 6.00%, inclusive 14%
Higher by more than 6.00% but less than 8.00% 1%
8.00% or higher 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 17
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.079344
2.
-0.06107
4.
-0.045013
5.
-0.014729

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
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