The Economist asks:
Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?
Started
Feb 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's party, Morena, hopes to add the State of Mexico to its list of governorships when voters go to the polls on 4 June 2023 (Economist, CNN Mexico Report, BNamericas).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 4 June 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 88.15% | |
No | 11.85% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 50 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 154 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |