Will the merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports in 2016 exceed $140 billion?
Started
Sep 06, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Tags
Expectations that Iran's nuclear deal would quickly produce economic dividends are fading (Quartz, International Monetary Fund), and those struggles are reflected in the continuing shrinkage of Iran's trade with the world. This question will be resolved using quarterly merchandise trade values reported by the World Trade Organization on its website (or download the WTO dataset here). Data for "Iran, Islamic Rep. of" from the tabs "Imports" and "Exports" will be summed for Q1-Q4 2016 when they become available, most likely in April 2017. According to the data available in August 2016, the annual totals for 2014 and 2015 were $139.8 billion and $104.9 billion, respectively, and the total for Q1 2016 was $25 billion.
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This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports for 2016 was $106 billion in total (Quarterly merchandise trade value). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports for 2016 was $106 billion in total (Quarterly merchandise trade value). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 162 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 431 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |