How many subscribers will Netflix report for the first quarter of 2023?
Closed Apr 16, 2023 11:59PM UTC
As the fight for streaming subscribers continues, Netflix is cracking down on "password sharing" while cutting prices in some countries (Yahoo Finance, BBC). The question will be suspended on 16 April 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Netflix (Netflix - Quarterly Earnings). For the first quarter of 2022, Netflix reported 221.64 million (First Quarter 2022 Shareholder Newsletter, see “Global Streaming Paid Memberships” on the first page).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between 232.5 million and 235.0 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 18 April 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 227.5 million | 8% | |
Between 227.5 million and 230.0 million, inclusive | 11% | |
More than 230.0 million but fewer than 232.5 million | 26% | |
Between 232.5 million and 235.0 million, inclusive | 37% | |
More than 235.0 million but fewer than 237.5 million | 11% | |
Between 237.5 million and 240.0 million, inclusive | 2% | |
More than 240.0 million but fewer than 242.5 million | 1% | |
242.5 million or more | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 70 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 131 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |