Will the IAEA conduct an on-site inspection of the Parchin military complex in Iran before the end of the year?
Started
Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 21, 2015 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 21, 2015 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action stipulates that the IAEA will investigate possible military dimensions of Iran's nuclear program, including research conducted at the Parchin military complex. Many argue that in-person, on-site inspections are vital and that video inspections or involvement in post-inspection analyses is not sufficient (www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-06/iran-dismisses-reports-of-cleanup-at-parchin-military-complex , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/22/world/middleeast/prospect-of-self-inspections-by-iran-feeds-opposition-to-nuclear-deal.html ).
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 45.00% | |
No | 55.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 143 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |