What will be the value of Total Assets of the Federal Reserve as of 27 December 2023?

Started Apr 21, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 27, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve's plan for reducing the size of its balance sheet was interrupted by bank failures in the US (CNBC, US News & World Report, Reuters, chart cited in US News link, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 26 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data provided by the Federal Reserve, with "Zoom" set to "1 y" (Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve - Table Format (data table)). As of 12 April 2023, the Total Assets of the Federal Reserve were $8,614,797 million, or $8.614797 trillion.

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The question closed "Between $7.7 trillion and $8.0 trillion, inclusive" with a closing date of 27 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $7.7 trillion 49%
Between $7.7 trillion and $8.0 trillion, inclusive 50%
More than $8.0 trillion but less than $8.3 trillion 1%
Between $8.3 trillion and $8.6 trillion, inclusive 0%
More than $8.6 trillion but less than $8.9 trillion 0%
More than $8.9 trillion 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186
Number of Forecasts 318
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.123486
2.
-0.113794
3.
-0.091646
4.
-0.079442
5.
-0.077931

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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