Will the peace agreement between Colombia and the FARC win approval in the upcoming national plebiscite?
Started
Sep 20, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 02, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 02, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 10/2/2016. The plebiscite did not approve the peace agreement ( CNN, BBC, The City Paper, Wall Street Journal).
In late August, Colombia and the FARC signed a deal to end the FARC's decades-long armed rebellion (Reuters, BBC). Colombians will now have a chance to vote on the deal in a plebiscite that is scheduled for October 2 (Business Insider). Winning approval requires that a simple majority vote "yes" on the plebiscite question (Reuters) and that the majority represent at least 13% of registered voters (Wall Street Journal, Colombia Calls). President Juan Manuel Santos supports the agreement while his chief rival, former President Alvaro Uribe, is campaigning for its rejection (Washington Post).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 99.00% | |
No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 135 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 230 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |