Will the Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the Virginia state House and/or Senate in the 2023 legislative elections?
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Elections for the Virginia General Assembly, which consists of the House of Delegates (House) and Senate, are scheduled to be held on 7 November 2023 (Ballotpedia - Virginia House Elections, Ballotpedia - Virginia Senate Elections). As of the launch of this question, Republicans controlled the House and Democrats the Senate (Virginia Mercury, AP). Non-Democratic candidates would not count, irrespective of any caucus affiliation.
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The question closed "Yes, both the House and Senate" with a closing date of 7 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only the House | 15% | |
| Yes, only the Senate | 36% | |
| Yes, both the House and Senate | 37% | |
| No | 13% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 30 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 72 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
