MrLittleTexas asks:
Before 28 January 2024, will West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin register with the FEC to run for US president in 2024?
Closed Jan 28, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Manchin has repeatedly floated the prospect that he may run for president in 2024 (NBC News, The Hill, Politico, NY1). Persons running for federal office in the US must register with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) upon raising or spending more than $5,000 in contributions or expenditures (FEC - Registration, FEC - Candidates). The question would close early if Manchin publicly announces that he will not run for US president in 2024.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 126 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 454 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
